CUTSIGNcutting for sign — daily OSINT threat read
AI-generated draft, unreviewed. Version 1, written by a model from the stored public sources on 2026-11-03; hype score 7. It is regenerated when the evidence changes and is published as a verdict card under /cards/ once it crosses the publish bar. Status: superseded.

Gorbag exploits WinRAR CVE-2025-8088 to deploy BeautyStealer against Ukrainian targets; Silent Lynx uses the…

Patch + HuntP2confidence: highP2 +1deep read +1day 3 of the story +23 publishers +1primary source +1actor named +1

Two separate actors are reported using WinRAR CVE-2025-8088 RAR lures that plant Startup-folder persistence. Gorbag targets Ukraine and Silent Lynx targets CIS governments. Today, confirm WinRAR is patched fleet-wide and run the Startup-folder and Telegram exfil hunts.

Triage: Reported targeting is Ukraine and CIS government only [S2][S4]. However, an exploited WinRAR flaw used by at least two actors is a generic exposure on any host running a vulnerable WinRAR.

ESET (S2) and Cisco Talos (S4) are primary research sources for each campaign. The Hacker News (S1, S3) reports the same findings.

What happened

Timeline

2025-02Gorbag activity begins S2
2025Gorbag uses XLSM macro lures dropping BeautyStealer into %ProgramData% S2
2025-06 to 2026-08UAT-6275 / Silent Lynx runs four infection chains against CIS government organizations S4
early 2026Gorbag switches to CVE-2025-8088 RAR archives S2
2026-10-15Talos publishes UAT-6275 report S4
2026-10-16The Hacker News covers Silent Lynx use of CVE-2025-8088 S3
2026-11-03ESET publishes Gorbag research; The Hacker News reports it S2

Detect

WinRAR writes into a Startup folder · Sysmon EID 11 / EDR file creation events

index=* EventCode=11 Image="*\\WinRAR.exe" TargetFilename="*\\Start Menu\\Programs\\Startup\\*" | stats count min(_time) as first max(_time) as last values(TargetFilename) by host User

A hit means: An archive extraction placed a file in a Startup folder. This matches the CVE-2025-8088 persistence step reported for both Gorbag (LNK) and Silent Lynx (PickleShell) [S2][S4].

Excel launches an executable from ProgramData · Sysmon EID 1 / Windows 4688 / EDR process events

index=* EventCode=1 ParentImage="*\\EXCEL.EXE" Image="C:\\ProgramData\\*" | stats count values(CommandLine) values(Image) by host User ParentImage

A hit means: An Excel macro dropped and ran a binary from %ProgramData%. This matches the Gorbag XLSM chain that delivers BeautyStealer [S2].

Telegram Bot API document uploads · Web proxy / Sysmon EID 22 DNS

index=* (url="*api.telegram.org/bot*/sendDocument*" OR QueryName="api.telegram.org") | stats count values(Image) values(url) by host src user

A hit means: A host contacted the Telegram API. If the client is not a sanctioned Telegram app, or a sendDocument upload is seen, this matches BeautyStealer exfiltration [S2].

Story IoC sweep · Firewall / proxy / Sysmon EID 1 and 3 / EDR

index=* (DestinationIp IN ("89.44.9.186","142.111.194.73") OR dest_ip IN ("89.44.9.186","142.111.194.73") OR Hashes="*0589d2079fbef814dc7bb95c4b3b555c8b933af6*" OR Hashes="*c17369b4b49113d07f080df832e218156fb0940f*" OR Hashes="*a5e0a82bf6cc302a20d917235643b748f73fcc27*" OR Hashes="*e27e0d0a4b308f9b6b0469159931eb5e343e7ff8*") | stats count values(Image) by host src dest_ip DestinationIp

A hit means: A host contacted, or executed, an indicator listed for this story. Confirm the attribution of each indicator against S2 before acting.

Verify

Scope

Affected

Only if

Not affected if

Enumerate

Contain

Eradicate

Recover

Re-enter the loop when

Debrief

Detection coverage — checked automatically

CategorySourceStatus
VendorImpacted vendor / CERT advisorypublished — primary source among the thread's sources: https://blog.talosintelligence.com/break-the-silence-kazakhstan-nexus-uat-6275-targets-cis-government-organizations/
GovernmentCISA KEV · CVE-2025-25257published — listed 2025-07-18, federal due 2025-08-08
GovernmentCISA KEV · CVE-2025-8088published — listed 2025-08-12, federal due 2025-09-02
ReferenceNVD · CVE-2025-25257published — published 2025-07-17, CVSS 3.1 9.8
ReferenceNVD · CVE-2025-8088published — published 2025-08-08, CVSS 4.0 8.4
VM scannersQualys · CVE-2025-25257published — QID 44706, 530308 · ThreatPROTECT: Fortinet FortiWeb Unauthenticated SQL Injection Vulnerability (CVE-2025-25257)
VM scannersQualys · CVE-2025-8088published — ThreatPROTECT: WinRAR Path Traversal Vulnerability Exploited in the Wild (CVE-2025-8088) (+1 more post)
VM scannersRapid7 · CVE-2025-25257published — InsightVM coverage stated
VM scannersRapid7 · CVE-2025-8088published — InsightVM coverage stated
VM scannersTenable · CVE-2025-25257published — 2 plugins: 114922 Fortinet FortiWeb Fabric Connector SQL Injection; 241525 Fortinet FortiWeb sqli (FG-IR-25-151)
VM scannersTenable · CVE-2025-8088published — 6 plugins: 248462 RARLAB WinRAR < 7.13 Directory Traversal (CVE-2025-8088); 346206 SUSE SLED15: clamav / clamav-devel / clamav-docs-html / clamav-milter / etc (SUSE-SU-2026:4180-1); 346209 SUSE SLES12: clamav / clamav-devel / clamav-docs-html / clamav-milter / etc (SUSE-SU-2026:4179-1); 364507 FreeBSD : clamav -- Multiple vulnerabilities (2719a8da-c3f8-11f1-8da1-3497f65b111b); …
EDR / endpoint VMCrowdStrike blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 10 newest items
EDR / endpoint VMMicrosoft Security blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 10 newest items
EDR / endpoint VMSentinelOne blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 10 newest items
EDR / endpoint VMSentinelOne Labsnothing found — no post names it among the feed's 10 newest items
WAF / edgeAkamai blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 1181 newest items
WAF / edgeCloudflare WAF managed-ruleset changelogpublished — WAF - WAF Release - 2025-07-28
Cloud / containerWiz blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 716 newest items
Linux distro errataDebian tracker · CVE-2025-25257published — tracker entry
Linux distro errataDebian tracker · CVE-2025-8088published — tracker entry
Linux distro errataRed Hat · CVE-2025-25257nothing found — no Red Hat entry
Linux distro errataRed Hat · CVE-2025-8088nothing found — no Red Hat entry
IDS / researchCisco Talos blogpublished — Break the silence: Kazakhstan-nexus UAT-6275 targets CIS government organizations
IDS / researchEmerging Threats open · CVE-2025-25257nothing found — no open rule names it (exploit, web_server, web_specific_apps sets)
IDS / researchEmerging Threats open · CVE-2025-8088published — 3 Suricata rules: sid 2063966, 2063965, 2063967
Detection contentElastic detection rulesnothing found — no rule file names BeautyStealer / CVE-2025-8088 / CVE-2025-25257
Detection contentElastic Security Labsnothing found — no post names it among the feed's 102 newest items
Detection contentSigmaHQ rulespublished — 1 file names CVE-2025-8088: rules/windows/file/file_event/file_event_win_winrar_file_creation_in_startup_folder.yml
Detection contentSplunk ESCUnothing found — no rule file names BeautyStealer / CVE-2025-8088 / CVE-2025-25257
CommunityNuclei template · CVE-2025-25257published — template in nuclei-templates (main)
CommunityNuclei template · CVE-2025-8088nothing found — no template under http/cves
MSSP / IR firmsArctic Wolf blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 10 newest items
MSSP / IR firmsHuntress blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 748 newest items
MSSP / IR firmsRapid7 blognothing found — no post names it among the feed's 20 newest items
MSSP / IR firmsSophos threat researchnothing found — no post names it among the feed's 15 newest items
ResearchUnit 42nothing found — no post names it among the feed's 15 newest items

Checked automatically 2026-11-03 18:13Z from public sources: 18 published, 18 nothing found, 0 not machine-checkable, 0 failed. "Nothing found" means the public source answered and had nothing, as of that moment; a feed covers only its newest posts. Re-checked daily.

What a person would still look up (4)
EDR / AVAsk the vendor whether it detects the CVE-2025-8088 Startup-folder drop and BeautyStealer. S2 lists ESET detection names; ask your vendor for its equivalents.
Email gatewayCheck RAR inspection for ADS path-traversal entries and macro XLSM handling
Vulnerability managementCheck whether scanners report WinRAR versions vulnerable to CVE-2025-8088, including portable installs
Proxy / DNSCheck that api.telegram.org traffic is logged with full URL and process attribution

Exposure queries — generated automatically

shodan · cve · CVE-2025-8088

vuln:CVE-2025-8088

open · Shodan tags a service with a CVE from its banner version; a paid-tier filter. Exact for this CVE, blind to a host Shodan has not fingerprinted.

0match this spelling on Shodan · 2026-11-03 — Shodan has tagged no banner with this CVE yet; its tagging follows its own version fingerprinting, not the advisory

shodan · cve · CVE-2025-25257

vuln:CVE-2025-25257

open · Shodan tags a service with a CVE from its banner version; a paid-tier filter. Exact for this CVE, blind to a host Shodan has not fingerprinted.

0match this spelling on Shodan · 2026-11-03 — Shodan has tagged no banner with this CVE yet; its tagging follows its own version fingerprinting, not the advisory

shodan · cpe · rarlab:winrar

cpe:"cpe:/a:rarlab:winrar"

open · Every Winrar service Shodan fingerprinted, any version (CPE 2.2 form of cpe:2.3:a:rarlab:winrar). Affected per NVD: < 7.13.

0match this spelling on Shodan · 2026-11-03

shodan · product · rarlab:winrar

product:"Winrar"

open · Banner product name, NVD's spelling; adjust if Shodan's differs. Affected per NVD: < 7.13.

0match this spelling on Shodan · 2026-11-03 — a text search for "Winrar" matches nothing on Shodan

censys · product · rarlab:winrar

host.services: (software.product = "Winrar")

Censys Platform host search, software as fingerprinted at layer 7. Affected per NVD: < 7.13.

shodan · cpe · dtsearch:dtsearch

cpe:"cpe:/a:dtsearch:dtsearch"

open · Every Dtsearch service Shodan fingerprinted, any version (CPE 2.2 form of cpe:2.3:a:dtsearch:dtsearch). Affected per NVD: < 2023.01.

0match this spelling on Shodan · 2026-11-03

shodan · product · dtsearch:dtsearch

product:"Dtsearch"

open · Banner product name, NVD's spelling; adjust if Shodan's differs. Affected per NVD: < 2023.01.

0match this spelling on Shodan · 2026-11-03 — a text search for "Dtsearch" matches 1 services, but no product or http.component facet value names this product; Shodan may not fingerprint it

censys · product · dtsearch:dtsearch

host.services: (software.product = "Dtsearch")

Censys Platform host search, software as fingerprinted at layer 7. Affected per NVD: < 2023.01.

shodan · cpe · fortinet:fortiweb

cpe:"cpe:/a:fortinet:fortiweb"

open · Every Fortiweb service Shodan fingerprinted, any version (CPE 2.2 form of cpe:2.3:a:fortinet:fortiweb). Affected per NVD: >= 7.0.0 < 7.0.11; >= 7.2.0 < 7.2.11; >= 7.4.0 < 7.4.8; >= 7.6.0 < 7.6.4.

1,411,530services internet-wide on Shodan · 2026-11-03

shodan · product · fortinet:fortiweb

product:"Fortiweb"

open · Banner product name, NVD's spelling; adjust if Shodan's differs. Affected per NVD: >= 7.0.0 < 7.0.11; >= 7.2.0 < 7.2.11; >= 7.4.0 < 7.4.8; >= 7.6.0 < 7.6.4.

0match this spelling on Shodan · 2026-11-03

censys · product · fortinet:fortiweb

host.services: (software.product = "Fortiweb")

Censys Platform host search, software as fingerprinted at layer 7. Affected per NVD: >= 7.0.0 < 7.0.11; >= 7.2.0 < 7.2.11; >= 7.4.0 < 7.4.8; >= 7.6.0 < 7.6.4.

shodan · alias · rarlab:winrar

http.title:"WinRAR"

open · Banner spelling suggested by the model from the card text (product name shown in its UI and web-facing pages); counted against Shodan before it was shown.

7services internet-wide on Shodan · 2026-11-03

shodan · alias · fortinet:fortiweb

http.title:"FortiWeb"

open · Banner spelling suggested by the model from the card text (login page title of the Fortinet web application firewall console); counted against Shodan before it was shown.

414services internet-wide on Shodan · 2026-11-03

shodan · alias · fortinet:fortiweb

http.html:"FortiWeb-VM"

open · Banner spelling suggested by the model from the card text (model string on the FortiWeb virtual appliance login page); counted against Shodan before it was shown.

229services internet-wide on Shodan · 2026-11-03

shodan · alias · fortinet:fortiweb

ssl:"FortiWeb"

open · Banner spelling suggested by the model from the card text (certificate subject naming used on FortiWeb appliances); counted against Shodan before it was shown.

4,858services internet-wide on Shodan · 2026-11-03

Banner spellings: a model read 6 from the NVD names and this card's text (former and marketing names, console titles); 4 matched something on Shodan and are shown above, the rest were dropped.

Scope every query in your own tool, never in a shared document: Shodan `net:<your_ranges>`, `org:"<your_org>"` or `hostname:<your_domain>` (or a Shodan Monitor network alert, which applies the scope for you); Censys `host.ip: <your_ranges>` or `host.dns.names: <your_domain>`. Then compare the banner version with the affected range. Generated automatically 2026-11-03 18:13Z from the CVE ids and NVD's CPE configurations, each Shodan query counted against Shodan itself; re-built daily with the coverage check.

Open questions

Sources

Public OSINT only. AI-generated by the pipeline; structure follows the DAIR model from Dynamic Incident Response (Joshua Wright). Published automatically once it crosses the publish bar.